Official definition of a recession fabricated by the United States!
LONDON, England - December 23,
2008 - The technical definition of a recession was drawn up on the back of an
envelope and was a piece of political spin, a former ambassador to the U.S. has
claimed.
Peter Jay, who was Britain's envoy
to Washington between 1977 and 1979, said that the definition - two consecutive
quarters of negative growth - had no basis in economic theory and was created
by the U.S. government in 1967 to aid the re-election prospects of President
Lyndon Johnson.
Mr. Jay, who said he was in the
room when the definition was established, said that Art Okun, the chairman of
Johnson's economic council, acted upon indications that there might be a
recession that year, which he feared would dent the President's popularity.
He said, "Art had the neat
idea that if we had a definition of recession that meant that people could say
we are not actually in a recession, not technically, that would get the
president out of a difficulty. So on the back of an envelope he invented the
idea that in order to call it a recession you had to have two consecutive
quarters of negative growth."
Mr. Jay, who went on to become the
BBC's economics editor, said, “This was completely arbitrary - there was
absolutely nothing scientific or in the economic theory that requires that a
recession be defined in that way. It was just a neat device by a clever
economist trying to help his chief who was faced with a political challenge.
“It's entirely spin, entirely semantics. The whole
argument, about are we or are we not in recession, is completely barmy. The
rest of the world, in this as in so many things - often for good reasons -
follows the United States. Because it is big and important and dominates
English language economics, the world feels it has to follow.”