Road to Depression

Actual unemployment rate is already at 20 percent!

on .

 

NEW YORK - July 6, 2009 - Really, how hard is it to find a job? Was June’s horrid numbers, in which 467,000 people lost their jobs compared to 345,000 in May, a one-time fluke? Or does it mean that all those Wall Street economists who believe the economic recovery is starting are dead wrong?

Not to scare you, but the situation is actually worse than it seems. Over the years, the government has changed the way it counts the unemployed. An example of this is the criticized Birth-Death Model, which was added in 2000. The model is designed to account for the birth and death of businesses and the resultant lag in survey data. Unfortunately, the model doesn't work that well during economic contractions (like we have now) and consistently overstates the number of jobs being created each month.

Subprime default rate as high as 49 percent!

on .

NEW YORK - July 6, 2009 - It seems as if things keep going from bad to worse with respect to home loan default rates.

Furthermore, if previous downgrades are any indication, things will probably continue to deteriorate as time goes by.

Kalifornia credit rating cut to near junk status!

on .

NEW YORK - July 6, 2009 - Kalifornia’s credit rating was cut for the second time in as many weeks by Fitch Ratings after a stalemate over how to close a $26 billion budget deficit forced the most-populous U.S. state to pay some bills with IOUs.

Fitch lowered its rating of Kalifornia’s general obligation bonds by two steps to BBB from A-, placing the debt two ranks about so-called high-yield, high-risk junk ratings, and said the state may be cut further. The credit-rating company last lowered its assessment of Kalifornia on June 25.

Seven more banks fail, pushing current year tally to 52!

on .

 

NEW YORK - July 3, 2009 - Seven banks were shut down by authorities Thursday, pushing the tally of failed banks for 2009 to 52, more than doubling the failures in 2008.

Six regional banks in Illinois and one in Texas closed their doors, according to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation.

Kalifornia default is imminent!

on .

 

Analyst Martin Weiss says Kalifornia is going to default.

NEW YORK - July 2, 2009 - Known for his early warnings on Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers, analyst Martin Weiss of Weiss Research is now sounding the alarm about State of Kalifornia municipal bonds.

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