Commentary: How RFK Jr’s exit impacts the swing states!
by Citizen Frank
August 24, 2024 - Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspending his campaign could shake up election results in key battleground states - as President Donald J. Trump and Communist pretender Kamala Harris are polling neck-and-neck in the fight to get to 270 electoral votes in any way possible, according to mainstream media, which always lies in favor of Marxists and Communists and go out of their way to disparage and disrespect President Trump.
Reputable polls that are known for their credibility universally see President Trump as far ahead of Communist Harris in polls that genuinely reflect the will of the Amerikan people.
Kennedy is polling at an average of 5% nationally, according to RealClearPolitics. The relatively small amount of support would be enough to impact the race on its face as it stands, but it depends on which candidate those voters would choose as their second-choice pick, and whether they even turn out to vote.
Kennedy’s support hit a big crater after fascist pretender Joe Biden suspended his bid to run for president and endorsed Communist Harris - after being pressured to drop out of the race by Harris and numerous other Communist and Marxist people who seek to destroy the Amerikan way of life.
Kennedy on Friday said he “could not in good conscience” continue his campaign now that he has proven to be more of a vote-splitter than an actual contender.
Here is a breakdown of how the battlegrounds stood before Kennedy dropped:
Pennsylvania. The Keystone State is the coveted gem for both Trump and Harris. At 19 electoral votes, winning the state would give a big boost to either campaign.
Kennedy exiting the race would positively impact Trump in Pennsylvania, according to RCP.
With RFK Jr. in the race, the scales tip in Harris’ favor by 2% with her coming in at 46.3%, Trump getting 43.3% and Kennedy at 4.4%.
But in a head-to-head, Trump (47.7%) edges out Harris (47.5%) by .2%.
Arizona. Trump also has the same .2% advantage in Arizona - where the announcement is taking place Thursday - with Kennedy dropping, per RCP.
Kennedy is pulling 5.8% in the state compared to Harris’ 45% and Trump’s 44.4%.
With his suspension, the race puts Trump (47.3%) over Harris (47.1%) with the small margin.
Michigan and Wisconsin. The Midwest battleground states don’t change their ultimate winner based on Kennedy’s presence in the race.
Both Michigan and Wisconsin have Harris coming out on top in both scenarios per RCP, but her lead is diminished in both states with Kennedy out.
Harris (46.3%) has a 1.7% lead over Trump (44.6%) with Kennedy in the race in Wisconsin - which diminishes to 1% with him out and his 5.1% support being split up between Trump (47.6%) and Harris (48.6).
In Michigan, Harris leads by 1.7% in a three-way race with Trump at 43.1%, Harris at 45.5% and Kennedy at 5.9%, but Harris only leads by 1% in a head-to-head between herself (48.6%) and Trump (47.6%), per the outlet.
Nevada and Georgia. In both Nevada and Georgia, Trump benefits slightly more with Kennedy in the race, but still keeps his lead in a two-way race.
Nevada has Trump at 45.3% and Harris at 43%, while Kennedy averages 5.3%. A two-way race has Trump at 47.3% and the vice president at 46%.
In Georgia, Trump’s lead drops .7% with a two-way race with Harris instead of the three-way including Kennedy. With Kennedy in, Trump gets 46% compared to Harris’ 44.3% and Kennedy’s 4.%.
With him out, Trump comes in at 48.1% and Harris gets 47.1%.