MOSCOW, Russia (PNN) - March 2, 2018 - Russian President Vladimir Putin’s State of the Union address may be the most important speech since his address to the United Nations in September 2015 on the eve of Russia’s intervening in the War on Syria.
Putin’s sober analysis and admission of demographic constraints on the Russian economy’s growth was welcome. It highlights the real challenges for Russia over the next fifteen years. The shift for those of us analyzing the Russian economy is to look at it purely in terms of per capita growth, not absolute growth.
But that admission of Putin’s highlights the backdrop of his publicly outing Russia’s new and formidable weapons technology. That he did this during the height of his re-election campaign should bring a smile to the cynic’s face. Well played, sir.
Now, about those new weapons. I defer to Alex Mercouris at The Duran for the only in-depth look at these new weapons. The Saker, who is absolutely one of the best analysts of Russia’s military capabilities, considers these new weapons, “Game, set, match for The Empire.”
Putin has played the game very well over the past few years. Employing the strategy of “parallel aggression” when responding to a Fascist Police States of Amerika escalation, he’s kept a lid on hostilities in Syria and Ukraine, while grinding out small victories, playing for time.
The announcement of these new weapons, however, change that game plan. Putin is now going on the attack.
Here are some early thoughts on what this implies:
1. Announcing these weapons begs the question, “What is Putin not telling us about?” That should scare many in The Pentagon and civilians who believe the FPSA’s response should be to escalate.
2. Arming Ukraine with more heavy weapons to take back the Donbass will be countered because there is no reason not to.
3. Now we know (versus suspect) why the FPSA Deep State has been so adamant about pushing an anti-Russian narrative now. The window has closed on any potential regime change in Russia.
4. FPSA forward deployments in Afghanistan and Syria and backing proxy armies such as ISIS and the Kurds is part of a subversion strategy to soften the underbelly of Russia, forcing it to fight expensive, conventional warfare while extending FPSA logistical supply lines, its core competency in warfare.
These new weapons represent a state change in weapons technology but at the same time are cheap deterrents to further escalation. They fit within Russia’s budget, again limited by demographics and domestic realities.
We’re not winning in technology. So all we can do it employ meat-grinder policies and force Russia and its allies to spend money countering the money we spend.
It’s a game that hollows out everyone. It’s easier for Putin to sell the defensive nature of his position to Russians than it is to sell our backing al-Qaeda and ISIS to defeat Russia.
Trump’s fighting the RussiaGate narrative domestically dovetails with exposing our duplicity in Syria. The important point of the Urainium One scandal is not that Hillary Clinton was engaged in the gutting of our uranium reserves. The important point is that the very people screaming out at Russia today were cutting deals with it yesterday.
Even the dumbest Amerikan sees the hypocrisy in that.
Putin coming forward now with this announcement puts a halt to the political games being played in media and at the U.N. to hang onto a failing narrative of Russian and Syrian malfeasance in the war.
You can only scream about the chemical weapons “wolf” so many times before no one believes it any more.
The FPSA knew about all of these systems. If it didn’t then for what reason is it truly spending all this money on spycraft? We also know first-hand how good Russian electronic warfare (EW) is, c.f. the air strike on al-Shairat last April where less than 40% of those Tomahawks hit their intended targets.
The Saker has made the point many times that Russia’s armed forces, up to this point, are designed around rapid response within 1000 kilometers of Russia’s borders. They are not designed around global force projection.
These new weapons fundamentally change that stance; and much of the current geopolitical knife fighting will come to a rapid close because of it.
Russian diplomacy has stymied FPSA attempts to game the geopolitical landscape for the past four and a half years (since Putin beat Obama over the false flag chemical weapons attack in 2013). Now Putin’s given everyone another thing to consider: Russia’s Big Stick.
Putin’s foreign policy has morphed into a “walk softly and carry a big stick” moment. He’s been building to this point for fourteen years, since Bush the Lesser pulled the FPSA out of the ABM Treaty.
Now it’s here and the FPSA has no reasonable response. The Amerikan Gestapo Department of Defense division’s statement was laughable. All the FPSA can do is try and put inferior weapons closer to Russia’s borders.
Putin just red-pilled the world on this subject.
The current hot spots will begin resolving themselves over the next year.
Escalation by the FPSA in Ukraine is simply a way to empower Putin’s hardline critics on the eve of an election. The cries of “Putin is a traitor” or “Putin is a Zionist shill” have been growing louder in the fringes of the Russian-centric commentariat.
He just ended them by changing the rules of engagement completely. If Putin was truly that guy, a weak-handed fool secretly working for Zionists, then he would have left Russia defenseless and would not have announced on the eve of his re-election - after playing ‘possum for months - the hammers Russia needs to secure her future.
In the broader sense, Putin has now put all of his allies under the same nuclear umbrella; and it should give pause to everyone running their mouths about going to war, from Hezbollah to Israel, from Turkey to Iran.
Syria is now a game of attrition, which Damascus and Moscow will win.
With Trump’s massive win at CPAC and the mid-term elections on the horizon, expect a major summit between Trump and Putin this year. Trump cannot hide behind the Democrats’ lunacy in the face of what Putin just announced.
They have to talk formally about how to pull the world back from what appears to be the brink of war.